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Superforecaster (AI Research Project)
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Job Description
- Req#: 894C9411E7
Employer Industry: AI Research and Forecasting
Why consider this job opportunity:
- Salary up to $245 per hour
- Fully remote and asynchronous work environment, allowing you to choose your own working hours
- Opportunity to contribute to a high-impact initiative in AI systems
- Engage with a community of top-tier professionals in forecasting
- Chance to enhance your skills in data-driven prediction and reasoning
What to Expect (Job Responsibilities):
- Produce well-reasoned, probability-based forecasts on complex global questions
- Clearly document thought processes, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies
- Engage in peer review and collaborative refinement of forecasts
- Provide input on prompt design, scoring systems, and question resolution criteria
- Assist in benchmarking and evaluating AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance
What is Required (Qualifications):
- Affiliation with a recognized forecasting program (e.g., Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative, International Institute of Forecasters)
- Proven forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years
- Experience participating in competitive or public forecasting tournaments
- Strong analytical, probabilistic reasoning, and written communication skills
- Ability to work independently in a structured, asynchronous environment
How to Stand Out (Preferred Qualifications):
- Demonstrated experience in high-accuracy predictions and data-driven forecasting
#AIResearch #Forecasting #RemoteWork #DataDriven #HighImpactInitiative
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